Ineos 'could do a deal' with Sheikh Jassim allies as Man United's £2bn stadium masterplan explained

Man United are edging forward with their plans to build a 100,000-seater stadium that when finished will likely be among the best and most lucrative. But at £2-3bn, who is going to pay for it?

We can probably rule out one name from the get-go. The Glazer family, who sold Sir Jim Ratcliffe nearly 28 per cent of the club almost exactly one year ago, have never been interested in United’s infrastructure.

Avram Glazer, Owner of Manchester United looks on as they attend a training session ahead of their second leg in the UEFA Champions League Quarter ...
Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images

The Glazers have reaped almost £450m in dividends since they took over the club via a leverage buyout in 2005, which incidentally makes them the second longest serving owners in the Premier League.

Premier League club Year acquired (major stake)
Tottenham 2001
Manchester United 2005
Manchester City 2008
Brighton 2009
West Ham 2010
Liverpool 2010
Leicester 2010
Crystal Palace 2010
Arsenal 2011
Brentford 2012
Fulham 2013
Wolves 2016
Nottingham Forest 2017
Aston Villa 2019
Newcastle 2021
Ipswich 2021
Southampton 2022
Chelsea 2022
Bournemouth 2022
Everton 2024

United have spent a fraction of that on infrastructure over the same period, with the Glazers only willing to eat into their dividends unless Carrington or Old Trafford are – quite literally – falling part.

Even then, it came out of the club’s purse, not their own.

One segment of both the Project Big Picture and European Super League proposals co-authored by the Glazers, copies of which have been seen by UIF, would have seen clubs pay into a central infrastructure pot.

A general view as the drainage pipe in the roofs of the Sir Alex Ferguson Stand and East Stand leaks and pours onto the seats below following heavy...
Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images

Yes, that means they effectively wanted rival clubs to cover the costs of their own negligence.

To an extent, the owners’ chickens have come home to roost as the sorely needed upgrades to the stadium and training ground meant the market balked at their £6bn valuation of the club in 2023.

That meant Ineos and Ratcliffe were brought in as minority equity partners. And for all their faults and missteps, they have shown far more interest in giving the club what it needs to be successful again.

Unfortunately for United fans who have been asked to shoulder the burden in terms of ticket prices, it will be many years before Ratcliffe’s ambitions for Old Trafford bear fruit.

Getting sign-off from the relevant regulator bodies will be a glacial process, as will construction itself. However, arriving at a suitable funding structure could be just as complex and laborious.

Despite the pearl-clutching on social media over Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ support for the project, the UK government won’t be paying for it.

If they contribute fanatically at all, it will be for the redevelopment of the external infrastructure needed to facilitate the sprawling stadium complex – public transport links, roads etc.

A cursory Google search meanwhile will tell you that Ratcliffe’s personal fortune is around £25bn, but most of that is illiquid. In other words, he doesn’t have £2-3bn in cash down the back of his sofa.

Bonds and debentures, which have historically been used by the likes of Arsenal to fund stadium projects, are no longer a common financing model for capital expenditure projects in football.

Charts showing Manchester United's matchday income and the potential capacity of an expanded Old Trafford compared to other Premier League stadiums.

That leaves one option: private investment. This could come in the form of commercial loans or equity investment from a new co-owner.

Sir Jim Ratcliffe and Ineos likely to take on more debt to cover stadium bill, says football finance expert

Last summer, it emerged that United had engaged the Bank of America about funding the Old Trafford redevelopment project.

Second only to JPMorgan Chase in the list of the world’s largest banks, the Bank of America is familiar to United and the Glazers specifically due to events pre-dating Ratcliffe’s part-takeover.

Sheikh Jassim bin Hamad Al Thani appointed the Bank of America as his chief advisors in his failed bid to buy United in early 2023.

Interestingly, it was reported late last year that – despite being linked to the likes of Tottenham, who are looking for fresh investment – Sheikh Jassim still only has eyes for United.

With equity investment one possible element of a funding package, the alliance between the Qatari royal and the Bank of America could – theoretically, at least – be significant.

The Bank of America was among the lenders who facilitated the construction of the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium too, most of which was funded by loans with fixed interest rates of 2-3 per cent.

Stadium Cost (adjusted for inflation) Location Opened
SoFi Stadium $5.5 billion California, USA 2020
MetLife Stadium $1.99 billion New Jersey, USA 2010
Allegiant Stadium $1.90 billion Nevada, USA 2020
Wembley Stadium $1.85 billion London, UK 2007
Yankee Stadium $1.79 billion New York, USA 2009
AT&T Stadium $1.79 billion Texas, USA 2009
Mercedes-Benz Stadium $1.56 billion Atlanta, USA 2017
Singapore National Stadium $1.41 billion Kallang, Singapore 2014
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium $1.33 billion London, England 2019
Optus Stadium $1.17 billion Perth, Australia 2017
SOURCE: Structural Repairs

Speaking exclusively to UIF, Liverpool University football finance lecturer and industry insider Kieran Maguire said that it would be impossible for United to get those kinds of rates from the Bank of America in today’s market.

“I think Man United’s chances of replicating the Spurs deal are close to zero,” said

“At the same time, the United brand is held in such high esteem, the new stadium can significantly impact revenues. There is no reason why the new stadium can’t be doing £250m per year as far as sales are concerned.

“You’re increasing capacity by 25,000 but if you look at the SoFi Stadium and its commercial capabilities, that is what United will be licking their lips about.

A general view of SoFi Stadium before the pre season Friendly between Arsenal and Manchester United on July 27, 2024 in Inglewood, California.
Photo by Stuart MacFarlane/Arsenal FC via Getty Images

“If they go down the multi-function, multi-sport model like Spurs, there is no reason they can’t easily cover the interest costs.

“Even if you doubled Spurs’ interest costs from the current £25m to around £50m, they have made so much more money from commercial activities that they can more than cover that.

“United are a blue-chip member of the Premier League and, yes, they aren’t having a good season, but they can ride that out.

Position Team Played MP Won W Drawn D Lost L For GF Against GA Diff GD Points Pts
11 BrentfordBrentford 24 9 4 11 42 42 0 31
12 Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace 24 7 9 8 28 30 -2 30
13 Man UtdManchester United 24 8 5 11 28 34 -6 29
14 TottenhamTottenham 24 8 3 13 48 37 11 27
15 West HamWest Ham 24 7 6 11 29 46 -17 27

“Whether lenders would want to put in 100 per cent of the costs of a new stadium is a separate issue.

“They would probably want the owners to take on an element of risk, so it then comes down to Ratcliffe and what he is prepared to do.

“You hear a variety of stories about Ratcliffe’s wealth. His net worth is around £15bn but much of that is tied up in assets rather than cash.

“If he is genuine, however, there is no reason he can’t liquidise some of those assets to provide funding for the stadium.

Sir Jim Ratcliffe arrives at the stadium prior to the Premier League match between Manchester United FC and Southampton FC at Old Trafford on Janua...
Photo by Ash Donelon/Manchester United via Getty Images

“If United wanted to go for a 100 per cent mortgage rate, they would pay higher interest rates.

“So you can see why Ratcliffe could do a deal with the Bank of America or another lender to ensure the stadium is fully costed.”

How much debt are United in ahead of Old Trafford 2.0 project?

Interest rates are stubbornly high at the moment as the world’s major economies attempt to curb inflation.

Debt isn’t a dirty word in the world of high finance – the opposite, in fact.

But with United already in colossal debt and with revenues likely to be volatile during a period of transition on the pitch under Ruben Amorim, caution is needed.

Chart showing Manchester United's gross debt since the Glazer family bought the club in 2005 via a leveraged buyout

The Glazers loaded the Red Devils with around £500m worth of debt as part of the takeover two decades ago, with interest on the loans seeing the total figure peak at approximately £800m around 2010.

United’s listing on the New York Stock Exchange cut that figure in half, but it has since spiralled again and is almost at is all-time high once again.

The club will supersize its revenues overnight as soon as Old Trafford 2.0 opens its doors, but the last thing they need is for a huge debt burden to eat into that financial surge.



from United In Focus https://ift.tt/FYjKQac

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